| ||||
A flu pandemic could happen at any time and kill between 5-150 million people, a UN health official has warned. David Nabarro, who is charged with co-ordinating responses to bird flu, said a mutation of the virus affecting Asia could trigger new outbreaks. "It's like a combination of global warming and HIV/Aids 10 times faster than it's running at the moment," Dr Nabarro told the BBC. But the World Health Organisation has distanced itself from the figure. The WHO spokesman on influenza, Dick Thompson, told a news conference in Geneva that the WHO's official estimate of the number of people who could die was between two million and 7.4 million. "There is obvious confusion, and I think that has to be straightened out. I don't think you will hear Dr Nabarro say the same sort of thing again," Mr Thompson said. Bird flu has swept through poultry and wild birds in Asia since 2003. It has killed huge numbers of birds and led to more than 60 human deaths. Prepared for worst "The range of deaths could be anything between 5m and 150m," the UN's new co-ordinator for avian and human influenza said in his BBC interview. Dr Nabarro said he stood by the figure drawn from the work of epidemiologists around the world. "My reason for giving the higher figure is simply that I want to be sure that when this next flu pandemic does come along, that we are prepared for the worst as well as for the mildest," he said.
In an earlier interview with the BBC, he said the likelihood that the Asian virus could mutate and jump to humans was high. "The consequences in terms of human life when the pandemic does start are going to be extraordinary and very damaging," he said. Because it has moved to wild migratory birds there is a possibility "that the first outbreak could happen even in Africa or in the Middle East", he warned. The comments came as agriculture ministers from the Association of South East Asian Nations (Asean) endorsed a three-year plan to combat the spread of the virus, and pledged $2m to fund research and training.
"I believe that the work we're doing over the next few months will make the difference between, for example, whether the next pandemic leads us in the direction of 150 or in the direction of five." The appointment of Dr Nabarro is an indication of how seriously the UN is taking the threat, the BBC's UN correspondent Suzannah Price says. In his new role, he is meant to ensure the UN has a co-ordinated response to bird flu and that it helps global efforts to prepare for any human flu pandemic, our correspondent says.
| ||||
Bird flu 'could
kill 150m people'
| Romania isolates bird flu village Attention to bird flu crisis 'ratchets up' (The Star) Australia: Victoria must prepare for Games bird flu outbreak (The Age) 2 Malaysia: All out to prevent bird flu outbreak (The Star) U.S.'s Leavitt Calls for More Open Reporting of Bird Flu Cases (Bloomberg.com) Indonesia: Suspected bird flu baby patient dies of pneumonia (The Jakarta Post) Australia: Queensland predicts 4,000 bird flu deaths (The Age) Scientists Unlock the Genetic Code of the 1918 Bird Flu (VOA news) USA: Bush Presses Vaccine Makers on Bird Flu (Other organisations) Nations meet to prepare bird flu response (Reuters) 27th human fatality of bird flu reported in Indonesia (Xinhua) US preparing for bird flu outbreak: Bush (Other organisations) Asia-Pacific meet to discuss bird flu response (Reuters) Australia: Bird flu vaccine trial set to begin (smh.com.au) Russia could have bird flu vaccine by spring - expert (Other organisations) Suspected bird flu patients double in Indonesia (Xinhua) 2USA: Bush may use troops, quarantine if bird flu breaks out (Seattle Times) Australia to host bird flu summit (Other organisations) 1918 Flu's Genetic Code May Help Fight Bird Flu (VOA news) Philippines: Lack of bird-flu vaccines worries poultry raisers (Other organisations) Australia: Bird flu vaccine trials to begin (The Australian) Aussie experts to deal with bird flu (The Age) Australia sends bird flu experts to Indonesia (Reuters) Another Indonesian suspected of bird flu, condition stable (Reuters) Indonesian man with suspected bird flu dies in hospital (Other organisations) 2China drafts plan to fight bird flu (Reuters) Albania tightens up measures for prevention of bird flu (People Daily) '186m drug consignment may be ineffective against bird flu (Times Online) Australia: WHO talks up Aust bird flu readiness (ABC news) Junk medicine: Bird flu (Times Online) 2Australia: Demand for bird flu vaccine soars (The Australian) Indonesia badly lacks bird flu drugs (The Australian) Australia: Kevin Rudd: Downer ducks bird flu Bird flu may kill 150m, warns U.N. (CNN) Malaysia to stockpile drugs and protective gear to prepare for bird flu (canada.com) USA: $5bn bid to fight bird flu (The Australian) Australia: Chicken industry moves to allay bird flu fears (ABC news) NZ plans in case bird flu strikes (NZ Herald) ASEAN asked to give weight to bird flu plan (ABC news) Indonesia urges international action on bird flu (Reuters) Indonesia: The govt must inform the public (The Jakarta Post) MedImmune, NIH Team Up on Bird Flu Vaccines (Other organisations) New Zealand: Govt agencies prepare bird flu plan (Other organisations) Indonesia forms bird flu pandemic team (People Daily) Australia: 'No bird flu threat' from illegal fishing boats (ABC news) Malaysia, EU say Asia needs bird flu funds (China Post) Australia vows to help on bird flu (China Post) Bird flu: 54 Indonesians ill (news24.com) China: Beijing reveals plans to fight bird flu (Other organisations) Philippines prepares for potential bird flu threat (Xinhua) Indonesia has to do much more to combat bird flu (Channel News Asia) Australia: Producers urged to watch for signs of bird flu (Other organisations) Indonesia: Agency slow to spread bird flu info (The Jakarta Post) Limited funds hurt Indonesia's bird flu battle (Reuters) China: Four-tier alert system to prevent bird flu (Xinhua) Singapore scientists invent quick bird flu test (Reuters) Indonesian woman dies in suspected bird flu case (Reuters) Australia: Quarantine officials warn of bird flu threat (ABC news) NewZealand: Fresh supplies of bird-flu drug exhausted (Other organisations) Five people test positive for bird flu in Indonesia (Other organisations) Australia to buy 40,000 courses of bird flu medication for Indonesia (canada.com) Philippines fears migratory birds may bring flu (Reuters) 2Switzerland: Wild fowl screened to avert bird-flu threat (SwissInfo) Australia: Poultry meat seized in bird flu fight (The Age) Indonesia: Bali scrambles to fight bird flu (The Age) Indonesia: Govt asked to give clear infofmation on bird flu (The Jakarta Post) Australia: Local flu risk from migrating birds (The Australian) Switzerland begins testing migratory birds to avert bird flu threat (People Daily) Exposure to bird flu through animal markets (The Jakarta Post) Indonesia: Cirebon moves against bird flu (The Jakarta Post) Australia: Scientists stockpile bird flu drugs (The Age) EU countries agree joint action on bird flu (Xinhua) APEC to consider bird flu threat (The Australian) Philippines prepares in case of bird flu (The Jakarta Post) Indonesia: Govt asked to intensify public information campaign on bird flu (The Jakarta Post) Malaysian state bordering Indonesia free of bird flu: official (People Daily) Malaysia: More checks, stiffer penalties to curb bird flu (New Straits) Australia: Labor demands bird flu action plan (The Age) WHO cautious over Indonesia bird flu outbreak (Reuters) Australia would not handle bird flu: health workers (Other organisations) Aussie drugs to battle bird flu outbreak (The Age) Indonesian girl suspected of suffering from bird flu (Xinhua) Australian firm to start trials of bird flu vaccine (Reuters) Indonesia to ban poultry farms in capital (Reuters) Vietnam Gets Donation of Bird Flu Drug (Other organisations) WHO warns of more bird flu cases (CNN) UK: Airport screening unlikely to stop flu, SARS spread (Reuters) Indonesia girl who had bird flu symptoms dies-radio (Reuters) Indonesia to forcibly hospitalize people with bird flu symptoms (China Post) Vietnam to stock bird flu drug, boost surveillance (Other organisations) Indonesia: Fear rises as bird flu hits Jakarta zoo (smh.com.au) More than US$250 million needed to prevent bird flu outbreak in humans, WHO official says (The Jakarta Post) World has slim chance to stop bird flu pandemic (Reuters) Indonesia: Jakarta hopes quick action can stop bird flu spreading (The Jakarta Post) Indonesia govt urges calm over bird flu threat Two Indonesian children suspected of bird flu (Reuters) Amid Warnings, Richer Nations Seek Protection From Bird Flu (Other organisations) Indonesia shuts zoo in Jakarta (Other organisations) | |||
© FluMed Richmond The Bird Flu Online Resource Center